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Case Evolution and Prediction

Coronavirus 10 - day forecast

Several models are used or will be used that will predict the development of cases in Greece or in other countries.

The third goal we have is to develop the most accurate algorithm for predicting future cases in our country from now on.

Although the algorithm has for the most part developed a series of specific processed data, it remains to be "calibrated / adjusted" and the first predictions may be announced to the competent bodies.

However, we have to note that such a prediction must be very specific to the place we are talking about.

The specific conditions of each country / place as well as random events have or may have an unpredictable and unexpected effect on the development of this pandemic.

We are also not at all sure (and this is because the type of models that have been applied have not been made public) that important parameters (eg spatial variables) have been taken into account (at least satisfactorily).Please refer to the Link.

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